A glance into deep future

My monthly forecast goes ahead 24 months (2 full years) from the present, and shows what path is the market price following. Some of my readers ask to have an indication, an insight, a suggestion and today I want to…

Bifurcation

Bifurcation is a market behavior that you get aware of when deeply analyzing it. I means that almost identical condition may produce opposite  exit direction. Today is one of those days. You may say it’s easy to preview, as Yellen speaks and…

Only S&P 500 here

Why do I make forecasts only for S&P 500?  As I have extensively explained, in the database I have hundreds of price line that represent the global markets environment, so what does inhibit to apply the methodology to each of…

Know in advance

What does “know in advance” means, here at spxbot? I want to make you an example, so that you can evaluate – I know it’s difficult to believe that something impossible (as forecasting the market) can be done On 15th of…

The Realm of Imprecision

Shown in the chart: 1 daily bar forecast comparison with actual close. I get confirm that there is a widespread one day lagging in computations. Need to work on it. Except bars projection, all other indicators read the realtime status, now.…

Faster, Faster

This is a cut out of the monthly chart produced by the Amodel. It is one of the most precious tools of the group and in this peculiar case it shows a common behavior of the forecast process (as well as…

Brute Force

[W]hen I write here, I usually have in mind an investor, as a reader. Averagely, a professional with a certain wealth, that uses markets to park money with an interesting rate of return. There are a lot of available techniques…

Apocalypse Now!

The market has undoubtly taken the upside, and a strong and vigorous sprout is blooming. It will take time, but it will flower. When I say the market here I refer to the S&P 500 index and the index is…

Enhancement to indicators

All indicators have been enhanced to a new adaptive behaviour, so that the indicators, when calculated, are never aware of any bars of the current move. This was already partly true, but now this has been stated peremptorily. The charts…

Enhancement to Signal

Please note, this is just a part of a larger chart and it shows three indicators calculated by the A model. As the set has been trained, results are perfect. Last 8 bars are excluded from training and are guesses…

Evaluating position

Just a few words about the evaluation of the signals from the Amodel and their execution: I always consider the execution of the position opening or close at the opening price of the following day, so that any position can…

Big Bear Chase still open

The area 2060/70 is a strong resistance that will produce some turbulence, but probabilities are still on the side of a rising index, supported by all the barking bears around, by all the uncertainty and by the  weakness of the…

The Big Bear Chase

If any of my readers is keen in battlefield strategy (I’m not as much), she/he will recognize the beauty of the struggle we are looking at in the arena of the market. The hunters are the bulls. They will lay…

The Amodel features

As this is an experimental service, that since the launch has been improved, I recently focused that the missing Stop indicator has to be developed seriously. While developing the Stop indicator, I modified the training model quite a bit, and…

Traditional analysis is out of touch

 [I]’ve found and corrected a couple of minor bugs in the Signal and in the target models (minor logical errors that under some circumstances did crash the whole code!) and this has made me think that the Signal model acts…

In memoriam of Jim Slater

[I]’ve just discovered that on 18th of November, Jim Slater has died, at 86. Here I want to remember him, whose book “The Zulu Principle” back in 1992 opened my eyes on how to approach share investing. If you are…

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