Noise

Noise is everywhere. We could even argue that trends are made out of noise. Inside massive markets, volatility can be your worst enemy: psychology again comes on stage. Every turn in the price creates uncertainty and uncertainty accumulates. Your confusion…

Closing the position

You are holding your position and then, at a certain point, you decide to close it. Deciding to close is very different from deciding to open. In the latter case you are starving, you want to chase. In the former…

Opening the position

You have done all your homeworks and training and paper trading and you are now ready to open your real position. As instrument we will use an etf on the S&P 500, plain and edged, so that we focus only…

Two or three words on risk

  For the trader or the investor, the word risk is one of the principal keywords. Nobody knows what risk really is, so relax. On the other side, everybody knows what risk means: as animals, we continuously react to external…

Sharper, sharper we go

Latest days were hard. I do not mean bad, but hard. It was evident that the model was in crisis. Maybe the fact that the market is going into a never seen territory, or maybe due to its internal conditions,…

Introduction to money self management

This is the first of a series of posts dedicated to individuals interested in investing and trading, but without experience, where I try to explain the basics of money self management. A lot of people is intimidated by any discourse…

Market prediction can be risky business

I love risky business… 😉 It’s a pleasure to read these recurrent articles about forecasting, innit? Financially Speaking John Spoto, Dec 2, 2016 from   Predicting where the stock market is heading has been the holy grail of financial professionals for over…

Trading opinions

Every trader and investor has her/his own framework of opinions that pilot the triggers. It is a mix of experience, knowledge and emotions. As your decisions are worth a gain, you have an euphorical sensation that you are mastering the…

Power of artificial intelligence

Just a reminder: about one month ago I made public  some of the projections of the A.I. model in the post   The post was not about the numbers, but about an unique opportunity that Euro based investors were facing…

Update to Elliott’s soup

Today’s reading of the Elliott’s Wave (chart by AdvGet) does confirm the projections of the A.I. model: after completing a first wave, the market is now searching for the (2) support to start the (3) wave. You may note the…

No divinations

I’m always here to show something obscure coming in from the future, but today I’d like to to just fix a point in the present. No divinations. The chart is speaking. This is a CFD continuous chart daily bars of…

Housekeeping

Pushed by a desire to rationalize the code, I put my hand on the model: the model is the heart of the beast, it is the mechanism that transforms raw data into the description of the phenomenon. It’s inner structure…

Euro investors may get double profit

It is a bit that the model predicts on one hand the American index rise, on the other hand the descent of the dollar exchange rate with the euro.  For an European investor it is a magic moment, because he/she may…

To know in advance

 On 23rd of September the model has produced this forecast. It was Friday, and usually as the week closes the model is sharper in viewing into the future. As well as it seems that Thursday forecasts are the weaker, and…

Some data about model performance

I’m sure that my (few) readers are curious of one thing: how the system has performed? percentage, percentage… I can’t blame you, even if I’m not very excited by past performance of any system. Performance percentages let’s you dream and…

The model and COT

You may wonder if does the model contains data from the COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS weekly data? No, the COT data (a report published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, that disaggregate the open interest of future contracts) is not…

Improved security

Since today, the site is running under SSL for improved security. To access the site, go to  If you have old urls, or bookmarks in your browser, just add an s to http, so that http://  becomes  https:// for every site…

Cassandra was hated by her fellow citizens

“Actually, I’m surprised that there aren’t more sites like SPXBOT out there”, he writes to me. No doubt, it is one of the best compliments I’ve received so far. Yes, it was not easy to build the system: programming, trading…

Day checkout

Some days the model makes the magic: yesterday the S&P 500 index was forecasted at 2177.76 for today’s close and it actually closed at 2177.18. By the way the high was forecasted at 2180.10 and it was in reality 2179.99.…