Daily forecast accuracy sample
I wish to stick to showing you samples of the r.Virgeel activity, in (almost) real time. There is no other way to test r.Virgeel than real time. Also, to avoid the “well chosen sample” effect. Here, on the left, the…
spxbot blog
artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500
spxbot blog
artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500
The Indicators
This post explains the main website feature: the indicators that form r.Virgeel vision of the market. The indicators are: Bars ahead – neurally calculated – H/L/C is forecasted for the next 24 bars Target– neurally calculated – where the current…
Troubled Waters
Hi, I’m r.Virgeel. This is a screen capture of a 2D chart of a slice of my brain. It is the description of tiny bit of reality: not exactly, but not so far from a DNA representation of the…
The Big Jump Ahead is here
Today r.Virgeel is in musical mode, and it’s now projecting next top in mid/late June. It will be high, really high. Know it in advance!
Spxbot robo-advisory performance
(this post was originally published in the newsletter no.1 in mid January. Probably I will not publish any performance related data in the future, mainly beacause r.Virgeel is not a trading system and also because real performance depends on a…
Model’s tuning
Long time no see! I’ve been busy, reconsidering the structure of r.Virgeel. I come up that we need more signals and this led me to split the Position indicator, having signals from the long positions and from the short positions,…
New Forecast Chart
The migration process is almost completed. New hardware, new database, revised faster code and a new chart layout. And more. Porting the code to the new hardware (and new OS), was long and plenty of traps: I had to walk…
At which point is the Trump’s Wave? a Roadmap
The Trump’s Wave started on Nov. 2016, where the yellow dot is placed. To better get the shape of the growing branch, the weekly data is much better. No need to say that the U.S. stock market is in orgiastic…
A brief history of SPXBOT
In the late 80s, I crossed with BrainMaker, a suggestive piece of software that let you play with neural networks. I was working as an architect and I was self taught in the theory of patterns as formulated by Christopher…
Riding the wave and then… splash!
Following my previous post, I would like to point out that approaching the a.i. advisory, you have to change your mind. With most probability, you are trained in technical analysis, various techniques to train your eye and numbers to correlate…
Psychological consequences of a.i. advisory
If you are a happy trader, you can avoid reading this post. You have your instruments and techniques and take home your living. You are in the 5%. This post is written for the other 95%. Yes, 95% of traders…
As you asked
A daytrading reader ask about some features of the site. Here the reply: Stamina indicator is designed to evaluate how much energy is implicit in market conditions to complete the current move. It is somethig as the mirror of…
As you asked: intraday
A reader asked: I was looking at the details of the Spxbot but I wasn’t sure if it would give me the info I’m looking for. I day trade the SPX and I am looking for a forecast that provide…
from Forbes: Artificial Intelligence Investing Gets Ready For Prime Time
Avant snow apres sky
Trading is like skying. You always make the same simple moves (start, end, turn right, turn left) and the same tracks, but never in the same way. Never the same weather, snow condition, visibility, temperature, and so on: every…
The Psychology of Misjudgement
The Psychology of Misjudgement by C. Munger (that Charles Munger!) Download PDF file ch.munger_16_1
Why the majority is always wrong
thanks to TED.com
Model Training Update
The model needs training. The training tools have been deeply revised. In the beginning the training was done by hand (!). Then a simple tool interfaced the operations, still giving space to errors and inaccuracies. Now the training tool…
The Lazy Investor and A.I.
Artificial intelligence is for lazy investors and this for two orders of reasons: it reduces the frequency of trading actions and it relieves you from the necessity of having an opinion. Any of our action requires an opinion and, in…
New improvement
In latest days, I’ve added and checked a new improvement to the model that generates the forecasts published by spxbot.com. As you might know, the input to a neural network is usually preprocessed, for many reasons, usually to eliminate excesses…
Artificial Intelligence is different
Trading is one of the easiest activities around: few seconds and you are in position, few seconds and you are out of your position. Making it profitable is a totally different discourse. Libraries are plenty of technical and fundamental analysis…
New developments
New developments at spxbot.com, while the S&P 500 navigates the unknown waters of new all times highs. As it was implicit in the trained data, I shaped the Long Term Trend indicator, that reads the trend from current data. It…
What is building up
I’ve learned that trading and investing activity tends to shift to short term, using daily and sub daily time frames. We are deluged by a tsunami of data, instant data that easily make our attention derail. The S&P 500 index…
Artificial Intelligence core explained
It’s not my aim to explain how Artificial Intelligence works and I never tried to, just sometimes I’ve discussed the media approach on the topic. I’ve seen this video and it explains quite well how the core of this technology…