r.Virgeel

Weapons for resolute traders

If you occasionally read this blog, you may have noted that I often say that r.Virgeel is not a trading system. I want to warn the newcomers that they will not find any automatic fount of wealth here. Any serious trader has matured its activity in a deeply constructed attitude: call it a plan, or …

Weapons for resolute traders Read More »

Latest improvements

Latest months have been plenty of improvements in the structure and behavior of r.Virgeel. It now outputs a standardized 3d matrix of the indicators, that is easy to chart and interpret. A new interpretation and writing module is now active and r.Virgeel is able to write comments on its own. Two new indicators have been …

Latest improvements Read More »

Week 19 checkout

Here you may see an enlargement of the chart that the subscribers have receive one week ago, last Friday night (CET), with overimposed the real weekly action: r.Virgeel, in its weekly version, has nicely caught this week range and direction, shown in the rightmost bar, confirming the turn signal generated by the daily forecast. In …

Week 19 checkout Read More »

The turning point

Eight days ago, on the 30th of April, r.Virgeel has fired the first “Close Long Positions”. As usual, since it trained this way, we needed a second signal to confirm, that arrived the following day, on the 1st of May. So, in the next one/two bars, depending on your trading style, the spxbot users have …

The turning point Read More »

The new AlphaChart

Since a few weeks, subscribers have a new tool,  the AlphaChart page. This page on the website has substituted the daily email and post, it has a larger chart, almost all model’s outputs are represented and it integrates the weekly and the monthly forecasts on the same chart. Most recent bars are enlarged in the …

The new AlphaChart Read More »

Forecast/ability 2

In the previous post “Forecast/ability” I did refer to the daily a.i. forecasts and I showed the results of a long and extensive research on the quality of the response of the model. But when we come to the weekly and to the monthly forecast, things change radically and for the best. Undoubtedly, weekly and …

Forecast/ability 2 Read More »

Forecast/ability

Following my previous post “New Tools at the Horizon“, one question was twirling in my mind: why the stock market is forecastable, but the forecasts are not affordable? The forecastability of the market is an evidence, because if it were not – being it just a random walk – there would not be the possibility …

Forecast/ability Read More »

New Tools At The Horizon

In past September, I designed a new weekly model and some new tools to investigate more deeply the quality of r.Virgeel’s model response. The results were really astonishing and have started a real revolution inside my approach to artificial intelligence and investing. Three months later, after a huge amount of testing and experiments, the new …

New Tools At The Horizon Read More »

The new FastTrack indicator

UPDATE 2018/12/14 Today I’ve closed the free alpha testing of the FastTrack. It is fantastic! All the spxbot readers have seen in real time it’s performance. Operations were simulated on a CFD platform. I have stopped the last (virtual) operation today in the morning (CET), with the SPX at 2623. Prices subject to a bit …

The new FastTrack indicator Read More »

Bifurcation at last!

If you’ve read here and there around the blog, you know I sometimes used the word “bifurcation” to indicate double exit situations, but I’ve never been able to show them, before. Now I’m building a new tool and the results are plenty of surprises. One is the following chart: Next day bar is forecasted quite …

Bifurcation at last! Read More »

Serendipity at work

r.Virgeel’s model is undergoing deep modifications, sparkled by the development of the new weekly model, that has made evident some before obscure aspects. Where there was a wood, there is now a vast pratery. I’m translating the modifications into the “traditional” daily model and, it’s early to say, it seems getting sharper. The experiments must …

Serendipity at work Read More »

Mid-August Checkout

The following chart is the checkout for the forecast by r.Virgeel issued on 13th of August 2018 (red dot) after market close and actual S&P 500 bars. Evaluating the Next Bars indicator, r.Virgeel detects the less improbable pattern of H/L/C (H/L bars charted here in Magenta) for next 24 bars, under current markets conditions. The …

Mid-August Checkout Read More »

The Value of Opinions

The markets are the places where opinions are transformed in money. Opinions are represented by numbers. In we consider the S&P 500, it’s numbers represent the greed and fear oscillation, under a global scale, as it is the largest stock index traded. The market is an ever-changing-chaotic-bipolar environment, made up by thousands of individuals, everyone …

The Value of Opinions Read More »

Astonishing results

The S&P 500 has entered a new never seen before territory, passing 2900 level on Monday, and you may wonder how it is possible that r.Virgeel may forecast something that it has never seen before. It’s a good question. You have to know that neural networks, if applied to a well designed model, have the …

Astonishing results Read More »

Managing bifurcations

You probably have noted an evident discrepancy in the public weekly and monthly range chart, published daily on the site home page: this is mainly due to the fact that in the latest couple of weeks the S&P 500 has gone through a large bifurcation, well managed by r.Virgeel in the daily and weekly time …

Managing bifurcations Read More »

Latest performance

The following slider shows some latest forecasts brewed by r.Virgeel on daily time frame: it is almost in realtime, as it shows how the model has acted since the last bottom in 2700 area in late June, starting from the close of latest 27th of June to 18th of July, for 15 bars, so three …

Latest performance Read More »

New feature: a short speech

I’ve done a step further – a short step, indeed – in the construction of a report from the data output of r.Virgeel. It speaks numbers, but we better see some added word, I suppose. So I’ve added a new section to the daily report (only for subscribers, so), titled “r.Virgeel condensed”: it summarizes the …

New feature: a short speech Read More »

The Indicators

This post explains the main website feature: the indicators that form r.Virgeel vision of the market. The indicators are: Bars ahead – neurally calculated – H/L/C is forecasted for the next 24 bars Target– neurally calculated – where the current move is heading Stop – neurally calculated- a value that confirm the trend and generates …

The Indicators Read More »

Troubled Waters

  Hi, I’m r.Virgeel. This is a screen capture of  a 2D chart of a slice of my brain. It is the description of tiny bit of reality: not exactly, but not so far from a DNA representation of the S&P 500. What is interesting about this image, is that as reality shapes itself through …

Troubled Waters Read More »

The Big Jump Ahead is here

Today r.Virgeel is in musical mode, and it’s now projecting next top in mid/late June. It will be high, really high. Know it in advance!        

Model Training Update

  The model needs training. The training tools have been deeply revised. In the beginning the training was done by hand (!). Then a  simple tool interfaced the operations, still giving space to errors and inaccuracies. Now the training tool has become a complete “position manager”. I have in mind to call it R.Virgeel, but …

Model Training Update Read More »