Revision to AlphaChart
I put the hand on the AlphaChart and to some deeper mechanics of the brain of r.Virgeel. The results are stretching the limits!
spxbot blog
artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500
spxbot blog
artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500
Category r.Virgeel
A sample of FastTrack power
Today's action is a typical FastTrack indicator behaviour
r.Virgeel, a.i.
Every day, every market open day, I have a meeting with r.Virgeel at 22:19 At 22:20, r.Virgeel starts its operations. Data is updated and processed, responses are brewed, and files are generated. If everything runs fine, at around 23 we…
Weapons for resolute traders
If you occasionally read this blog, you may have noted that I often say that r.Virgeel is not a trading system. I want to warn the newcomers that they will not find any automatic fount of wealth here. Any serious…
Latest improvements
Latest months have been plenty of improvements in the structure and behavior of r.Virgeel. It now outputs a standardized 3d matrix of the indicators, that is easy to chart and interpret. A new interpretation and writing module is now active…
Week 19 checkout
Here you may see an enlargement of the chart that the subscribersSubscriber To access reserved pages. To subscribe click here have receive one week ago, last Friday night (CET), with overimposed the real weekly action: r.Virgeel, in its weekly version,…
The turning point
Eight days ago, on the 30th of April, r.Virgeel has fired the first “Close Long Positions”. As usual, since it trained this way, we needed a second signal to confirm, that arrived the following day, on the 1st of May.…
The new AlphaChart
Since a few weeks, subscribersSubscriber To access reserved pages. To subscribe click here have a new tool, the AlphaChart page. This page on the website has substituted the daily email and post, it has a larger chart, almost all model’s…
Bifurcations, minority reports and r.Virgeel’s jargon
I have published the usual monthly update and in the post I have included a significant minority report. One subscriberSubscriber To access reserved pages. To subscribe click here was surprised by the existence of a “minority report” and asked how…
The current wave viewed by r.Virgeel
How di r.Virgeel acted from the last turning of the current wave? This is the forecast chart brewed on December 31st, 2018, when the model turned positive at the end of the correction. Since then, r.Virgeel has been…
Forecast/ability 2
In the previous post “Forecast/ability” I did refer to the daily a.i. forecasts and I showed the results of a long and extensive research on the quality of the response of the model. But when we come to the weekly…
Forecast/ability
Following my previous post “New Tools at the Horizon“, one question was twirling in my mind: why the stock market is forecastable, but the forecasts are not affordable? The forecastability of the market is an evidence, because if it were…
New Tools At The Horizon
In past September, I designed a new weekly model and some new tools to investigate more deeply the quality of r.Virgeel’s model response. The results were really astonishing and have started a real revolution inside my approach to artificial intelligence…
The new FastTrack indicator
UPDATE 2018/12/14 Today I’ve closed the free alpha testing of the FastTrack. It is fantastic! All the spxbot readers have seen in real time it’s performance. Operations were simulated on a CFD platform. I have stopped the last (virtual) operation…
Bifurcation at last!
If you’ve read here and there around the blog, you know I sometimes used the word “bifurcation” to indicate double exit situations, but I’ve never been able to show them, before. Now I’m building a new tool and the results…
Serendipity at work
r.Virgeel’s model is undergoing deep modifications, sparkled by the development of the new weekly model, that has made evident some before obscure aspects. Where there was a wood, there is now a vast pratery. I’m translating the modifications into the…
Mid-August Checkout
The following chart is the checkout for the forecast by r.Virgeel issued on 13th of August 2018 (red dot) after market close and actual S&P 500 bars. Evaluating the Next Bars indicator, r.Virgeel detects the less improbable pattern of H/L/C…
The Value of Opinions
The markets are the places where opinions are transformed in money. Opinions are represented by numbers. In we consider the S&P 500, it’s numbers represent the greed and fear oscillation, under a global scale, as it is the largest stock…
Astonishing results
The S&P 500 has entered a new never seen before territory, passing 2900 level on Monday, and you may wonder how it is possible that r.Virgeel may forecast something that it has never seen before. It’s a good question. You…
Managing bifurcations
You probably have noted an evident discrepancy in the public weekly and monthly range chart, published daily on the site home page: this is mainly due to the fact that in the latest couple of weeks the S&P 500 has…
Latest performance
The following slider shows some latest forecasts brewed by r.Virgeel on daily time frame: it is almost in realtime, as it shows how the model has acted since the last bottom in 2700 area in late June, starting from the…
New feature: a short speech
I’ve done a step further – a short step, indeed – in the construction of a report from the data output of r.Virgeel. It speaks numbers, but we better see some added word, I suppose. So I’ve added a new…
The Indicators
This post explains the main website feature: the indicators that form r.Virgeel vision of the market. The indicators are: Bars ahead – neurally calculated – H/L/C is forecasted for the next 24 bars Target– neurally calculated – where the current…
Troubled Waters
Hi, I’m r.Virgeel. This is a screen capture of a 2D chart of a slice of my brain. It is the description of tiny bit of reality: not exactly, but not so far from a DNA representation of the…
The Big Jump Ahead is here
Today r.Virgeel is in musical mode, and it’s now projecting next top in mid/late June. It will be high, really high. Know it in advance!
At which point is the Trump’s Wave? a Roadmap
The Trump’s Wave started on Nov. 2016, where the yellow dot is placed. To better get the shape of the growing branch, the weekly data is much better. No need to say that the U.S. stock market is in orgiastic…
Model Training Update
The model needs training. The training tools have been deeply revised. In the beginning the training was done by hand (!). Then a simple tool interfaced the operations, still giving space to errors and inaccuracies. Now the training tool…
Under development
The new trainer has taken shape: it should provide a better preprocessing of the model and has just been tested.