If you think that the trader’s activity is similar to a game, I would like to first say it’s not. For many reasons. What makes to someone the trading activity similar to a game is a misconception of the bet. The novice tends to see a buy of a stock share as a bet, and, …
How di r.Virgeel acted from the last turning of the current wave? This is the forecast chart brewed on December 31st, 2018, when the model turned positive at the end of the correction. Since then, r.Virgeel has been long, with some indecision here and there, always solved in one bar. A long bear …
In past September, I designed a new weekly model and some new tools to investigate more deeply the quality of r.Virgeel’s model response. The results were really astonishing and have started a real revolution inside my approach to artificial intelligence and investing. Three months later, after a huge amount of testing and experiments, the new …
The following chart is the checkout for the forecast by r.Virgeel issued on 13th of August 2018 (red dot) after market close and actual S&P 500 bars. Evaluating the Next Bars indicator, r.Virgeel detects the less improbable pattern of H/L/C (H/L bars charted here in Magenta) for next 24 bars, under current markets conditions. The …
The following slider shows some latest forecasts brewed by r.Virgeel on daily time frame: it is almost in realtime, as it shows how the model has acted since the last bottom in 2700 area in late June, starting from the close of latest 27th of June to 18th of July, for 15 bars, so three …
(this post was originally published in the newsletter no.1 in mid January. Probably I will not publish any performance related data in the future, mainly beacause r.Virgeel is not a trading system and also because real performance depends on a lot of factors, depending on your location, tax burden, investment strategy, etc. Anyway, the first …
I know that every new reader of the blog, and older too, has one and just one question to ask: what about performance? Show us tables, comparisons, benchmarks, charts! I tried to explain many times that working with Artificial Intelligence shifts the approach, opens a completely new way of thinking to trading and/or investing and …
I perfectly understand that my readers ask for backtesting and performance statistics of the model. Let me explain, it is natural as most of you are trained in technical analysis and are used to manage tools that have as their main feature to let you scan it retroactively. It’a one dimensional analysis. Here, I don’t …
I’m sure that my (few) readers are curious of one thing: how the system has performed? percentage, percentage… I can’t blame you, even if I’m not very excited by past performance of any system. Performance percentages let’s you dream and are very dangerous 😉 But this is not a technical analysis automation or an algorithmic trader …