Gamification
If you think that the trader’s activity is similar to a game, I would like to first say it’s not. For many reasons. What makes to someone the trading activity similar to a game is a misconception of the bet.…
spxbot blog
artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500
spxbot blog
artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500
Category performance
The current wave viewed by r.Virgeel
How di r.Virgeel acted from the last turning of the current wave? This is the forecast chart brewed on December 31st, 2018, when the model turned positive at the end of the correction. Since then, r.Virgeel has been…
Forecast/ability 2
In the previous post “Forecast/ability” I did refer to the daily a.i. forecasts and I showed the results of a long and extensive research on the quality of the response of the model. But when we come to the weekly…
Forecast/ability
Following my previous post “New Tools at the Horizon“, one question was twirling in my mind: why the stock market is forecastable, but the forecasts are not affordable? The forecastability of the market is an evidence, because if it were…
New Tools At The Horizon
In past September, I designed a new weekly model and some new tools to investigate more deeply the quality of r.Virgeel’s model response. The results were really astonishing and have started a real revolution inside my approach to artificial intelligence…
Mid-August Checkout
The following chart is the checkout for the forecast by r.Virgeel issued on 13th of August 2018 (red dot) after market close and actual S&P 500 bars. Evaluating the Next Bars indicator, r.Virgeel detects the less improbable pattern of H/L/C…
Latest performance
The following slider shows some latest forecasts brewed by r.Virgeel on daily time frame: it is almost in realtime, as it shows how the model has acted since the last bottom in 2700 area in late June, starting from the…
Daily forecast accuracy sample
I wish to stick to showing you samples of the r.Virgeel activity, in (almost) real time. There is no other way to test r.Virgeel than real time. Also, to avoid the “well chosen sample” effect. Here, on the left, the…
Spxbot robo-advisory performance
(this post was originally published in the newsletter no.1 in mid January. Probably I will not publish any performance related data in the future, mainly beacause r.Virgeel is not a trading system and also because real performance depends on a…
Performance chart update
I know that every new reader of the blog, and older too, has one and just one question to ask: what about performance? Show us tables, comparisons, benchmarks, charts! I tried to explain many times that working with Artificial Intelligence…
Forecast performance and position statistics
I perfectly understand that my readers ask for backtesting and performance statistics of the model. Let me explain, it is natural as most of you are trained in technical analysis and are used to manage tools that have as their…
Some data about model performance
I’m sure that my (few) readers are curious of one thing: how the system has performed? percentage, percentage… I can’t blame you, even if I’m not very excited by past performance of any system. Performance percentages let’s you dream and…