10 Years Post
10 years ago, about this time of the year, I began experimenting with the possibility of building r.Virgeel
spxbot blog
artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500
spxbot blog
artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500
Category generics
New Access Level: 24 Hours
I have created a new subscription Level: The One Shot 24 Hours subscription that fully opens the current forecast charts for 24 hours.
About market fluctuations
Is volatility bad? Or isn't it a mark of market aliveness and a tireless generator of opportunities?
New Website and New Free Tools
It was a long time I had in mind that clean framework with the bar on the right of the screen and it was seriously impossible to find anything to work with. As with many other things, it arrived, popped…
A matter of frequencies: a new model
It all started as a standard revision routine. The code analysis tool showed some issues (it shows a lot of issues, definitively) that could be easily corrected.
Recent updates
Under the usual code revision, I sorted ut with a small modification of the training set that seems to have a large impact on the stability of the neural networks in the model.
The making of reality
How do we percieve reality? Is reality what we see or is it a product of our mind?
The New Blog
spxbot.com has a new blog: new address , new graphic layout and new content: a better selection of the old posts that will be updated whenever necessary. Navigation should be easier than before, readability has been improved and I hope…
Video by Martin Armstrong
I have to thank this man, again. For two reasons, mainly: first, because his writings were the eye openers to understand the markets and how they work, even after many years of investing activity. Second, because without the “it’s all…
Weapons for resolute traders
If you occasionally read this blog, you may have noted that I often say that r.Virgeel is not a trading system. I want to warn the newcomers that they will not find any automatic fount of wealth here. Any serious…
Gamification
If you think that the trader’s activity is similar to a game, I would like to first say it’s not. For many reasons. What makes to someone the trading activity similar to a game is a misconception of the bet.…
Long Term Checkout
In various previous posts, I’ve stated that the monthly forecast is to take into account as a sort of path tracer, an indication, a generic route for future market action. I tend to consider it in this way, having a…
Stair Seats
Most of us have a general knowledge of what statistic does: it extracts from data some relevant information about the data itself. What a neural network does is to add a layer of correlation between the data and relate it…
As you asked
I have received from a reader: Am planning to take monthly subscriptionSubscriber To access reserved pages. To subscribe click here. Before subscribeSubscriber To access reserved pages. To subscribe click here please let me know below queries. Which platform needed to…
Waves and Cycles
When you get the patterns into the wave observation, you will see the cycles. Cycles that expand and contract, that generates trends, cycles of any dimension. Cycles that change continuously.
Waves
Today I would like to talk about waves. The markets express themselves through waves. But first, let’s look at waves. When on the shore, look at waves. look at them for a long time and pattern will arise behind your…
Note to new subscribers
Since months, and it’s well documented in the free blog, the daily forecast is NOT SENT BY EMAIL, but accessible via the Alpha Chart page on this website. In this way, the forecast is much more efficient and flexible to…
Latest improvements
Latest months have been plenty of improvements in the structure and behavior of r.Virgeel. It now outputs a standardized 3d matrix of the indicators, that is easy to chart and interpret. A new interpretation and writing module is now active…
The new AlphaChart
Since a few weeks, subscribersSubscriber To access reserved pages. To subscribe click here have a new tool, the AlphaChart page. This page on the website has substituted the daily email and post, it has a larger chart, almost all model’s…
January checkout
During the whole month of January I have strictly watched out the D-FT behavior. All the obstacles have been easily bypassed by the comparison of the other indicators. r.Virgeel is working well and I’m preparing a new enhanced chart. It…
Forecast/ability 2
In the previous post “Forecast/ability” I did refer to the daily a.i. forecasts and I showed the results of a long and extensive research on the quality of the response of the model. But when we come to the weekly…
As you asked: Intraday
“I wanted to ask you if you ever thinking about making an intraday trading system.” (W.M.) In the past, I already tried to build a real time version of the model, but it has some limitations: it’s hard to…
Bifurcation at last!
If you’ve read here and there around the blog, you know I sometimes used the word “bifurcation” to indicate double exit situations, but I’ve never been able to show them, before. Now I’m building a new tool and the results…
Serendipity at work
r.Virgeel’s model is undergoing deep modifications, sparkled by the development of the new weekly model, that has made evident some before obscure aspects. Where there was a wood, there is now a vast pratery. I’m translating the modifications into the…
The Value of Opinions
The markets are the places where opinions are transformed in money. Opinions are represented by numbers. In we consider the S&P 500, it’s numbers represent the greed and fear oscillation, under a global scale, as it is the largest stock…
Managing bifurcations
You probably have noted an evident discrepancy in the public weekly and monthly range chart, published daily on the site home page: this is mainly due to the fact that in the latest couple of weeks the S&P 500 has…
New feature: a short speech
I’ve done a step further – a short step, indeed – in the construction of a report from the data output of r.Virgeel. It speaks numbers, but we better see some added word, I suppose. So I’ve added a new…
IMHO
In latest weeks, I did some homekeeping to the website, reorganizing the contents of the blog, improving graphics and revising all pages. A brand new intoductory page is online, that explains the genesis and the characteristics of r.Virgeel. I noted,…
Are you kidding?
Going throug the whole materials that I have accumutated during spxbot development, I crossed this post from Dec. 19th 2014, available here. This was the very day I opened my eyes, this chart demontrated that, even if it was in…
A brief history of SPXBOT
In the late 80s, I crossed with BrainMaker, a suggestive piece of software that let you play with neural networks. I was working as an architect and I was self taught in the theory of patterns as formulated by Christopher…
Opening the position
You have done all your homeworks and training and paper trading and you are now ready to open your real position. As instrument we will use an etf on the S&P 500, plain and edged, so that we focus only…
Only S&P 500 here
Why do I make forecasts only for S&P 500? As I have extensively explained, in the database I have hundreds of price line that represent the global markets environment, so what does inhibit to apply the methodology to each of…
In memoriam of Jim Slater
’ve just discovered that on 18th of November, Jim Slater has died, at 86. Here I want to remember him, whose book “The Zulu Principle” back in 1992 opened my eyes on how to approach share investing. If you are…