artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500
artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500
This is the first of a series of posts dedicated to individuals interested in investing and trading, but without experience, where I try to explain the basics of money self management. A lot of people is intimidated by any discourse…
I love risky business… 😉 It’s a pleasure to read these recurrent articles about forecasting, innit? Financially Speaking John Spoto, Dec 2, 2016 from Predicting where the stock market is heading has been the holy grail of financial professionals for over…
Every trader and investor has her/his own framework of opinions that pilot the triggers. It is a mix of experience, knowledge and emotions. As your decisions are worth a gain, you have an euphorical sensation that you are mastering the…
It is almost one year that the spxbot.com site is on and three and a half years since I begun developing the model. Well, many previous experiences have built the necessary skills, but this is the timing. No, it’s not…
Just a reminder: about one month ago I made public some of the projections of the A.I. model in the post The post was not about the numbers, but about an unique opportunity that Euro based investors were facing…
I perfectly understand that my readers ask for backtesting and performance statistics of the model. Let me explain, it is natural as most of you are trained in technical analysis and are used to manage tools that have as their…
Today’s reading of the Elliott’s Wave (chart by AdvGet) does confirm the projections of the A.I. model: after completing a first wave, the market is now searching for the (2) support to start the (3) wave. You may note the…
I’m always here to show something obscure coming in from the future, but today I’d like to to just fix a point in the present. No divinations. The chart is speaking. This is a CFD continuous chart daily bars of…
Pushed by a desire to rationalize the code, I put my hand on the model: the model is the heart of the beast, it is the mechanism that transforms raw data into the description of the phenomenon. It’s inner structure…
It is a bit that the model predicts on one hand the American index rise, on the other hand the descent of the dollar exchange rate with the euro. For an European investor it is a magic moment, because he/she may…
On 23rd of September the model has produced this forecast. It was Friday, and usually as the week closes the model is sharper in viewing into the future. As well as it seems that Thursday forecasts are the weaker, and…
It’s quite a time I do not update the Elliott’s view and here I am today. The moment of big choices is approaching and we can read it in the chart above (by AdvGet): A long raising wave from mid February…
I’m sure that my (few) readers are curious of one thing: how the system has performed? percentage, percentage… I can’t blame you, even if I’m not very excited by past performance of any system. Performance percentages let’s you dream and…
You may wonder if does the model contains data from the COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS weekly data? No, the COT data (a report published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, that disaggregate the open interest of future contracts) is not…
Since today, the site is running under SSL for improved security. To access the site, go to If you have old urls, or bookmarks in your browser, just add an s to http, so that http:// becomes https:// for every site…
“Actually, I’m surprised that there aren’t more sites like SPXBOT out there”, he writes to me. No doubt, it is one of the best compliments I’ve received so far. Yes, it was not easy to build the system: programming, trading…
Some days the model makes the magic: yesterday the S&P 500 index was forecasted at 2177.76 for today’s close and it actually closed at 2177.18. By the way the high was forecasted at 2180.10 and it was in reality 2179.99.…
A new subscriberSubscriber To access reserved pages. To subscribe click here posed some questions that may be of general interest. Thank you for asking, here the answers: Are the signals based on what the model thinks will happen after 6…
Yesterday I read this and I have to say I couldn’t dissent more. No way a biological structure can be compared to a software tool, even if this software is someway inspired by what we know of the brain structure.…
The coming age of thinking machines is already here. All manufactures around the world are substituting worker with specialized robots and a new subdivision of work is raising. Artificial intelligence (AI) is spreading into a lot of different fields, but always…
Friday evening the software has produced the usual forecast for Monday (yesterday): here you see just the first two bars into the future , plus the actual market data for yesterday (the white line + close dot). Can you see the…
“In the last couple of years, deep learning techniques have transformed the world of artificial intelligence. One by one, the abilities and techniques that humans once imagined were uniquely our own have begun to fall to the onslaught of ever…
Bears are excited! Finally the market has moved and moved downward, as it often happens after a long choppy flag. We have to consider the movement to come as a run-up (down!) that comes before the market going to new…
In few days the sentiment has collapsed: now 2 out of three are bearish and this is really a nice bullish news. We are going out of the long choppy flag and rising volatility will be the main trait of…
“If neural networks are such great pattern matchers and can be used for prediction and forecasting, then can they be used to predict the stock market? If so, we can all get rich. Naturally, such thinking is to be expected and someone…
My monthly forecast goes ahead 24 months (2 full years) from the present, and shows what path is the market price following. Some of my readers ask to have an indication, an insight, a suggestion and today I want to…
Bifurcation is a market behavior that you get aware of when deeply analyzing it. I means that almost identical condition may produce opposite exit direction. Today is one of those days. You may say it’s easy to preview, as Yellen speaks and…
On 15th of July, this was the forecast from the model, on daily basis. You may note how precise was the projection of future behavior of the S&P 500 for the month ahead. Consider that: as you move more into…
Why do I make forecasts only for S&P 500? As I have extensively explained, in the database I have hundreds of price line that represent the global markets environment, so what does inhibit to apply the methodology to each of…
Forecast charts from May 05, 2016 The forecast charts are the output of the Amodel. All the work, all the code, all the information that is produced here it is put in there, in the chart. The model is designed…
What does “know in advance” means, here at spxbot? I want to make you an example, so that you can evaluate – I know it’s difficult to believe that something impossible (as forecasting the market) can be done On 15th of…
Shown in the chart: 1 daily bar forecast comparison with actual close. I get confirm that there is a widespread one day lagging in computations. Need to work on it. Except bars projection, all other indicators read the realtime status, now.…
This is a cut out of the monthly chart produced by the Amodel. It is one of the most precious tools of the group and in this peculiar case it shows a common behavior of the forecast process (as well as…
hen I write here, I usually have in mind an investor, as a reader. Averagely, a professional with a certain wealth, that uses markets to park money with an interesting rate of return. There are a lot of available techniques…
The market has undoubtly taken the upside, and a strong and vigorous sprout is blooming. It will take time, but it will flower. When I say the market here I refer to the S&P 500 index and the index is…
All indicators have been enhanced to a new adaptive behaviour, so that the indicators, when calculated, are never aware of any bars of the current move. This was already partly true, but now this has been stated peremptorily. The charts…