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Update to Elliott’s soup

Today’s reading of the Elliott’s Wave (chart by AdvGet) does confirm the projections of the A.I. model: after completing a first wave, the market is now searching for the (2) support to start the (3) wave. You may note the…

No divinations

I’m always here to show something obscure coming in from the future, but today I’d like to to just fix a point in the present. No divinations. The chart is speaking. This is a CFD continuous chart daily bars of…

Housekeeping

Pushed by a desire to rationalize the code, I put my hand on the model: the model is the heart of the beast, it is the mechanism that transforms raw data into the description of the phenomenon. It’s inner structure…

Euro investors may get double profit

It is a bit that the model predicts on one hand the American index rise, on the other hand the descent of the dollar exchange rate with the euro.  For an European investor it is a magic moment, because he/she may…

To know in advance

 On 23rd of September the model has produced this forecast. It was Friday, and usually as the week closes the model is sharper in viewing into the future. As well as it seems that Thursday forecasts are the weaker, and…

Some data about model performance

I’m sure that my (few) readers are curious of one thing: how the system has performed? percentage, percentage… I can’t blame you, even if I’m not very excited by past performance of any system. Performance percentages let’s you dream and…

The model and COT

You may wonder if does the model contains data from the COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS weekly data? No, the COT data (a report published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, that disaggregate the open interest of future contracts) is not…

Improved security

Since today, the site is running under SSL for improved security. To access the site, go to  If you have old urls, or bookmarks in your browser, just add an s to http, so that http://  becomes  https:// for every site…

Cassandra was hated by her fellow citizens

“Actually, I’m surprised that there aren’t more sites like SPXBOT out there”, he writes to me. No doubt, it is one of the best compliments I’ve received so far. Yes, it was not easy to build the system: programming, trading…

Day checkout

Some days the model makes the magic: yesterday the S&P 500 index was forecasted at 2177.76 for today’s close and it actually closed at 2177.18. By the way the high was forecasted at 2180.10 and it was in reality 2179.99.…

Don’t get fooled by poets

Yesterday I read this  and I have to say I couldn’t dissent more. No way a biological structure can be compared to a software tool, even if this software is someway inspired by what we know of the brain structure.…

About Artificial Stupidity

The coming age of thinking machines is already here. All manufactures around the world are substituting worker with specialized robots and a new subdivision of work is raising. Artificial intelligence (AI) is spreading into a lot of different fields, but always…

Exploring deep learning

“In the last couple of years, deep learning techniques have transformed the world of artificial intelligence. One by one, the abilities and techniques that humans once imagined were uniquely our own have begun to fall to the onslaught of ever…

Big changes at the horizon

Bears are excited! Finally the market has moved and moved downward, as it often happens after a long choppy flag. We have to consider the movement to come as a run-up (down!) that comes before the market going to new…

Some turbulence ahead

In few days the sentiment has collapsed: now 2 out of three are bearish and this is really a nice bullish news. We are going out of the long choppy flag and rising volatility will be the main trait of…

Artificial Intelligence: a view from 1990

“If neural networks are such great pattern matchers and can be used for prediction and forecasting, then can they be used to predict the stock market? If so, we can all get rich. Naturally, such thinking is to be expected and someone…

A glance into deep future

My monthly forecast goes ahead 24 months (2 full years) from the present, and shows what path is the market price following. Some of my readers ask to have an indication, an insight, a suggestion and today I want to…

Bifurcation

Bifurcation is a market behavior that you get aware of when deeply analyzing it. I means that almost identical condition may produce opposite  exit direction. Today is one of those days. You may say it’s easy to preview, as Yellen speaks and…

Only S&P 500 here

Why do I make forecasts only for S&P 500?  As I have extensively explained, in the database I have hundreds of price line that represent the global markets environment, so what does inhibit to apply the methodology to each of…

Know in advance

What does “know in advance” means, here at spxbot? I want to make you an example, so that you can evaluate – I know it’s difficult to believe that something impossible (as forecasting the market) can be done On 15th of…

Faster, Faster

This is a cut out of the monthly chart produced by the Amodel. It is one of the most precious tools of the group and in this peculiar case it shows a common behavior of the forecast process (as well as…

Brute Force

hen I write here, I usually have in mind an investor, as a reader. Averagely, a professional with a certain wealth, that uses markets to park money with an interesting rate of return. There are a lot of available techniques…

Apocalypse Now!

The market has undoubtly taken the upside, and a strong and vigorous sprout is blooming. It will take time, but it will flower. When I say the market here I refer to the S&P 500 index and the index is…

Evaluating position

Just a few words about the evaluation of the signals from the Amodel and their execution: I always consider the execution of the position opening or close at the opening price of the following day, so that any position can…

The Big Bear Chase

If any of my readers is keen in battlefield strategy (I’m not as much), she/he will recognize the beauty of the struggle we are looking at in the arena of the market. The hunters are the bulls. They will lay…

The Amodel features

As this is an experimental service, that since the launch has been improved, I recently focused that the missing Stop indicator has to be developed seriously. While developing the Stop indicator, I modified the training model quite a bit, and…