A.I. for investors and traders
AI has become an essential tool for investors and traders. In this blog post, we will explore the latest developments in AI for investors and traders.
spxbot blog
artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500 - Subscribe Now
spxbot blog
artificial intelligence robo-advisor for the S&P 500 stock index SPX / ^GSPC / SP500 - Subscribe Now
Category educational
10 Years Post
10 years ago, about this time of the year, I began experimenting with the possibility of building r.Virgeel
About market fluctuations
Is volatility bad? Or isn't it a mark of market aliveness and a tireless generator of opportunities?
10 reasons why 90% of investors lose money in the stock market
Here are 10 reasons why 90% of investors lose money in the stock market.
The making of reality
How do we percieve reality? Is reality what we see or is it a product of our mind?
Gamification
If you think that the trader’s activity is similar to a game, I would like to first say it’s not. For many reasons. What makes to someone the trading activity similar to a game is a misconception of the bet.…
r.Virgeel’s trading model
The r.Virgeel’s model is stable since enough to let me say it is now entering its early maturity. I’m working in the refinement field to gain speed, affordability, stability. Less, and this is my fault, I work in the…
As you asked
I have received from a reader: Am planning to take monthly subscriptionSubscriber Get access to reserved pages – To subscribe click here. Before subscribeSubscriber Get access to reserved pages – To subscribe click here please let me know below queries.…
Forecast/ability
Following my previous post “New Tools at the Horizon“, one question was twirling in my mind: why the stock market is forecastable, but the forecasts are not affordable? The forecastability of the market is an evidence, because if it were…
In gloriam of technical analysis
If you have read some of my notes, you may have formed the idea that I hate technical analysis (ta). That’s not true. Dealing with r.Virgeel, I have seen the dramatic limitations of ta, but also some interesting aspects. For…
spxbot limits
Different trading and investing styles I’m fully aware of the basic fact that every trader and investor has its own style. Many schools of thinking, but everyone is really different, particularly in the private sector. If a private trader survives…
Daily forecast accuracy sample
I wish to stick to showing you samples of the r.Virgeel activity, in (almost) real time. There is no other way to test r.Virgeel than real time. Also, to avoid the “well chosen sample” effect. Here, on the left, the…
The Indicators
This post explains the main website feature: the indicators that form r.Virgeel vision of the market. The indicators are: Bars ahead – neurally calculated – H/L/C is forecasted for the next 24 bars Target– neurally calculated – where the current…
A brief history of SPXBOT
In the late 80s, I crossed with BrainMaker, a suggestive piece of software that let you play with neural networks. I was working as an architect and I was self taught in the theory of patterns as formulated by Christopher…
Noise
Noise is everywhere. We could even argue that trends are made out of noise. Inside massive markets, volatility can be your worst enemy: psychology again comes on stage. Every turn in the price creates uncertainty and uncertainty accumulates. Your confusion…
Closing the position
You are holding your position and then, at a certain point, you decide to close it. Deciding to close is very different from deciding to open. In the latter case you are starving, you want to chase. In the former…
Opening the position
You have done all your homeworks and training and paper trading and you are now ready to open your real position. As instrument we will use an etf on the S&P 500, plain and edged, so that we focus only…
Two or three words on risk
For the trader or the investor, the word risk is one of the principal keywords. Nobody knows what risk really is, so relax. On the other side, everybody knows what risk means: as animals, we continuously react to external…
How to choose your trading platform
Once you decide to self manage your money, first of all you need to have a trading account at a bank or a broker. Nowadays, almost every bank offers a trading platform on line, where you can trade a huge number…
Introduction to money self management
This is the first of a series of posts dedicated to individuals interested in investing and trading, but without experience, where I try to explain the basics of money self management. A lot of people is intimidated by any discourse…
Market prediction can be risky business
I love risky business… 😉 It’s a pleasure to read these recurrent articles about forecasting, innit? Financially Speaking John Spoto, Dec 2, 2016 from Predicting where the stock market is heading has been the holy grail of financial professionals for over…
Trading opinions
Every trader and investor has her/his own framework of opinions that pilot the triggers. It is a mix of experience, knowledge and emotions. As your decisions are worth a gain, you have an euphorical sensation that you are mastering the…
New attitude for new market
It is almost one year that the spxbot.com site is on and three and a half years since I begun developing the model. Well, many previous experiences have built the necessary skills, but this is the timing. No, it’s not…
Questions from a new subscriber
A new subscriberSubscriber Get access to reserved pages – To subscribe click here posed some questions that may be of general interest. Thank you for asking, here the answers: Are the signals based on what the model thinks will happen…
Bifurcation
Bifurcation is a market behavior that you get aware of when deeply analyzing it. I means that almost identical condition may produce opposite exit direction. Today is one of those days. You may say it’s easy to preview, as Yellen speaks and…
Responsive and adaptive
Forecast charts from May 05, 2016 The forecast charts are the output of the Amodel. All the work, all the code, all the information that is produced here it is put in there, in the chart. The model is designed…
Brute Force
[W]hen I write here, I usually have in mind an investor, as a reader. Averagely, a professional with a certain wealth, that uses markets to park money with an interesting rate of return. There are a lot of available techniques…