a.i.

A matter of frequencies: a new model

It all started as a standard revision routine. The code analysis tool showed some issues (it shows a lot of issues, definitively) that could be easily corrected.

Week 19 checkout

Here you may see an enlargement of the chart that the subscribers have receive one week ago, last Friday night (CET), with overimposed the real weekly action: r.Virgeel, in its weekly version, has nicely caught this week range and direction, shown in the rightmost bar, confirming the turn signal generated by the daily forecast. In …

Week 19 checkout Read More »

How r.Virgeel is trained

Following the requests coming from some users that were initially confused about how to interpret the signals coming out from r.Virgeel, I think that nothing is better than to explain how the indicators are produced. I have never done it before so extensively. The process is very different from the calculations for a technical indicator …

How r.Virgeel is trained Read More »

Forecast/ability 2

In the previous post “Forecast/ability” I did refer to the daily a.i. forecasts and I showed the results of a long and extensive research on the quality of the response of the model. But when we come to the weekly and to the monthly forecast, things change radically and for the best. Undoubtedly, weekly and …

Forecast/ability 2 Read More »

Forecast/ability

Following my previous post “New Tools at the Horizon“, one question was twirling in my mind: why the stock market is forecastable, but the forecasts are not affordable? The forecastability of the market is an evidence, because if it were not – being it just a random walk – there would not be the possibility …

Forecast/ability Read More »

spxbot limits

Different trading and investing styles I’m fully aware of the basic fact that every trader and investor has it’s own style. Many school of thinking, but everyone is really different, particularly in the private sector. If a private trader survives the first 18 months without being wiped out, then she/he may have the possibility to …

spxbot limits Read More »

The Indicators

This post explains the main website feature: the indicators that form r.Virgeel vision of the market. The indicators are: Bars ahead – neurally calculated – H/L/C is forecasted for the next 24 bars Target– neurally calculated – where the current move is heading Stop – neurally calculated- a value that confirm the trend and generates …

The Indicators Read More »

Riding the wave and then… splash!

  Following my previous post, I would like to point out that approaching the a.i. advisory, you have to change your mind. With most probability, you are trained in technical analysis, various techniques to train your eye and numbers to correlate the stream of data. With an extended application to chart reading and some discipline, …

Riding the wave and then… splash! Read More »

Avant snow apres sky

  Trading is like skying. You always make the same simple moves (start, end, turn right, turn left)  and the same tracks, but never in the same way. Never the same weather, snow condition, visibility, temperature, and so on: every time it’s different. Imagine that the neural network knows the track. It does not guarantee …

Avant snow apres sky Read More »

The Lazy Investor and A.I.

  Artificial intelligence is for lazy investors and this for two orders of reasons: it reduces the frequency of trading actions and it relieves you from the necessity of having an opinion. Any of our action requires an opinion and, in trading, our opinions are, usually, like TNT in the hands of a chimp. It’s …

The Lazy Investor and A.I. Read More »

Artificial Intelligence is different

Trading is one of the easiest activities around: few seconds and you are in position, few seconds and you are out of your position. Making it profitable is a totally different discourse. Libraries are plenty of technical and fundamental analysis books and the internet is plenty of websites that offer amazing returns. All of them …

Artificial Intelligence is different Read More »

Artificial Intelligence core explained

It’s not my aim to explain how Artificial Intelligence works and I never tried to, just sometimes I’ve discussed the media approach on the topic. I’ve seen this video and it explains quite well how the core of this technology works. We are speaking about back-propagation neural network, the pattern recognition engine that works at …

Artificial Intelligence core explained Read More »

The Dark Side of the Spreadsheet

I have read the following https://www.technologyreview.com/s/604087/the-dark-secret-at-the-heart-of-ai/ and, again, I thought about the misinterpretation that Artificial Intelligence is going through. Do your remember Visicalc? Probably not. Visicalc was the first spreadsheet, 20 rows by 5 column (!) by Dan Bricklin with Bob Frankston. It was 1978. The Spreadsheet! The tools that makes the world go around… …

The Dark Side of the Spreadsheet Read More »

Do we need Artificial Intelligence?

I’m wandering: do we need Artificial Intelligence to recognize that we are in a bull market? When you are inside a trend, corrections are our friends and the fear of the top (or bottom) is our recurrent trouble. But, surfing is easy with a trendy market. Stay hungry, stay long.    

The hidden disorder of the market

Often, you read someone that has the key of the “hidden order” of the markets and is so kind and altruist to share such a knowledge with you. Can you trust? Can you believe? In my opinion, after years of testing and developing the artificial intelligence model that powers this site, there is no hidden …

The hidden disorder of the market Read More »

Does this stock market scares you?

I read an article today that highlights the fact that a lot of investors are scared by this current stock market. The stock market is moving opposite to almost any prevision made by mainstream media, it should have crashed after Trump election or Brexit, and instead it is rising madly and without rest. All this rises confusion …

Does this stock market scares you? Read More »

Never seen before

In the rising market, you are continuously convinced that a crash is imminent and this is the fuel that makes the market grow, having a lot of people on the wrong side. We are watching it in the latest months, whenever the downturn seems inevitable, the market turns up blindly, no way. If I should …

Never seen before Read More »

Trading opinions

Every trader and investor has her/his own framework of opinions that pilot the triggers. It is a mix of experience, knowledge and emotions. As your decisions are worth a gain, you have an euphorical sensation that you are mastering the forces that drive the market, but on the other side if your decisions take you …

Trading opinions Read More »

New attitude for new market

It is almost one year that the spxbot.com site is on and three and a half years since I begun developing the model. Well, many previous experiences have built the necessary skills, but this is the timing.  No, it’s not time to draw conclusions, the work is still going on – will it ever last? …

New attitude for new market Read More »

Power of artificial intelligence

Just a reminder: about one month ago I made public  some of the projections of the A.I. model in the post https://spxbot.com/2016/10/20/euro-investors-may-get-double-profit/  The post was not about the numbers, but about an unique opportunity that Euro based investors were facing (and are still facing). In the meantime the EURUSD has passed from around 1.095 to …

Power of artificial intelligence Read More »

No divinations

I’m always here to show something obscure coming in from the future, but today I’d like to to just fix a point in the present. No divinations. The chart is speaking. This is a CFD continuous chart daily bars of S&P 500 index. We know the market is discounting a crucial event in less the …

No divinations Read More »